Will the Rising Cost of Sales Cost SaaS Companies VC Funding?

My friend Phil Wainwright’s latest blog post re: LucidEra’s new pre-sales program, Pipeline Healthcheck, confirms many of my initial observations when the company first introduced the program in October. Phil’s post includes a number of interesting stats which LucidEra’s founder, Ken Rudin, also shared with me at Salesforce.com’s Dreamforce event.

LucidEra’s decision to move away from the typical free-trial approach to selling SaaS is significant because it exemplifies a subtle trend which is brewing in the on-demand services market.

Although many SaaS solutions can be sold using a ‘try and buy’ technique, a growing number of SaaS vendors are discovering that they must employ other sales tactics to sell their solutions. In some cases, like the LucidEra example, it is because they are trying to demonstrate the power of their functionality to a target buyer who is unfamilar with the basic idea. In other cases, the SaaS vendor is offering a more complex solution which is going to have a significant impact on the customer’s operations and requires greater sales skills and resources.

An example of this second scenario is Salesforce.com’s growing focus on large-scale enterprise sales. Selling its customer relationship management (CRM) solution to Global 2000 companies requires more than a 30-day trial to be successful. That is why the company has been aggressively recruiting traditional software salespeople from companies like Oracle and SAP to attack major accounts. I had an opportunity to speak to over 700 of these ‘big-game hunters’ at Salesforce.com’s North America sales kickoff meeting last February.

This shift in sales strategies and tactics has raised concerns among the VC and broader investment community about the long-term viability of the SaaS industry. These investors are worried that adding more high-powered salespeople and creating more complicated sales processes will increase the cost of sales and reduce the operating margins of SaaS companies. They are concerned that this will undercut the price advantage of SaaS over traditional, on-premise software vendors.

An example of this thinking is a recent post by Evangelos Simoudis of Trident Capital. While there is a legitimate concern that many SaaS vendors, like companies in general, have a tendency to be inefficient in the way they allocate their sales and marketing budgets, I believe some of the investment community’s angst is based on an industry benchmark which is no longer relevant.

That benchmark is the exorbinant operating margins which incumbent software vendors (iSVs) have enjoyed over the years. Investors are concerned because they haven’t seen profit margins of over 60% from SaaS companies like those they’ve been accustomed to seeing in the packaged software industry.

However, if you look closely iSVs are finding it equally difficult to sustain their profit margins as customers become disenchanted with high upfront perpetual license fees and escalating maintenance costs. So, comparing emerging SaaS vendor profitability with historic iSV profitability is no longer valid.

I debated Bruce Richardson of AMR Research on this point earlier this year. Bruce was questioning whether the SaaS industry could sustain itself given the high cost of sales and marketing reported by the publicly traded SaaS vendors. My view then and now is that the long-term profitability of SaaS is not reflected in today’s financial reports for two reasons,

1. The SaaS industry is still in its infancy and SaaS vendors must spend a disproportionate amount of their revenues, and/or VC funds, on sales and marketing to educate customers about the intrinsic value of their on-demand solutions. This includes the ‘try and buy’ and other sales and marketing techniques aimed at encouraging rapid adoption.
2. Companies like Omniture, Salesforce.com and SuccessFactors are intentionally overspending on sales and marketing to aggressively win market share. As Josh James of Omniture has stated in his blog and at industry conferences, SaaS companies which know their ‘magic number’–the incremental revenues generated by every additional sales and marketing dollar spent–are obliged to put the ‘foot to the metal’ now so they can win as much market share as possible before the industry consolidates.

So, my concern isn’t whether SaaS is a profitable business model. Instead, my concern is whether the VCs, private equity firms and other traditional funding sources are going to retreat from the SaaS market because they have unrealistic expectations for this sector.

While it is reasonable for them to be more conservative in their funding strategies and investments given today’s economic crisis, it would be disappointing to see them abandon the SaaS market because they’ve lost faith in the business model.

On-Demand Service Providers Becoming Best Practices Model for Enterprise IT Organizations

I’ve just returned from my last business trip of the year. This time I was in Washington, DC, hosting the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), cloud computing and managed services track of NetworkWorld’s IT Roadmap event.

The keynote speaker at the event was Bechtel Corporation’s CIO, Geir Ramleth, who gave a fascinating talk about how his IT team is transforming the way Bechtel leverages technology and business applications by modeling their operations on YouTube, Google, Amazon.com and Salesforce.com, rather than traditional enterprise organizations.

Ramleth has recognized that these on-demand service providers are delivering high-value solutions in an amazingly low cost fashion, making them the envy of CIOs at many of the greatest companies in the world.

Although Ramleth’s team has decided that today’s commercially available SaaS and cloud computing solutions don’t meet their corporate requirements, they still felt the operating model of today’s on-demand service providers is worth imitating.

Ramleth’s presentation echoed many of the ideas which THINKstrategies has been advocating for the past seven years. His team recognized the ease of use and operating efficiencies of consumer-oriented web-services and SaaS vendors, and decided to benchmark their internal operations based on these successful models. As a result, they have not only increased end-user productivity, but dramatically reduced their operating costs.

Click here to read more about Bechtel’s transformation process.

Another Reason Why Gartner Is A Lagging Indicator Of Today’s Market Trends

Once again Gartner has demonstrated why it is viewed as a lagging indicator of meaningful market trends. Check out a new article in CIO Magazine entitled, “Gartner: Four Disruptions That Will Transform the Software Industry.”

In this article, Gartner analyst Yvonne Genovese identifies the following “disruptive” software industry trends that will take shape by 2010-2015,

• Rise in New Technologies and Convergence of Existing Technologies
• Change in Software User and Support Demographics
• Revolutionary Changes in Software and How it is Consumed
• Software Market Moves to Megavendors Supporting Large Ecosystems

To call any of these trends potentially disruptive in 2010 or 2015 is to ignore the significant impact each of them is already having on the software industry today.

Web mash-ups became the play things of the Facebook crowd over a year ago and are already being used by a wide array of companies of all sizes today.

That same Facebook generation has already brought their social networks into the corporate environment, making Gartner’s suggestion that “By 2015, no company will be able to build or sustain a competitive advantage unless it capitalizes on the combined power of individualized behaviors, social dynamics and collaboration”, ludicrous.

“Revolutionary Changes in Software and How it is Consumed” are already well underway and will be yesterday’s news by 2010. Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and cloud computing are gaining mainstream and Main Street acceptance and adoption.

Gartner may be right that the “Software Market Moves to Megavendors Supporting Large Ecosystems” but it won’t be yesterday’s leading vendors. Instead, it will be Google, Amazon and Salesforce.com leading a new generation of SaaS and cloud computing providers.

Gartner’s forecast would be laughable if it wasn’t so sad how many companies spend millions of dollars to obtain this type of ‘insight’.

This is especially disappointing at a time when most companies are in desperate need of practical help and advice to overcome the unprecedented realities of today’s turbulent business climate, as opposed to the hypothetical world of the future as seen by a market research firm.

Offering A Hybrid SaaS Model To Give Customers Choice

One of the topics which leading Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) vendors and industry analysts are most vehement about is that software vendors cannot survive and succeed supporting a ‘hybrid’ model.

This issue arises every time an incumbent software vendor–my definition of a “ISV”–rolls out a SaaS solution while also trying to sustain its legacy, on-premise application. There are plenty of impediments to success in this balancing act across the entire lifecycle of a product extending from software development and delivery to sales and support. These technological and organizational challenges are major obstacles to success for ISVs trying to keep pace with the SaaS movement.

However, despite growing interest and adoption of SaaS as well as other ‘cloud’ computing alternatives among organizations of all sizes, many IT and business decision-makers continue to feel that they must make an ‘either/or’ judgement when it comes to on-premise versus on-demand solutions. This often confronts with an unnecessarily polarized set of options rather than giving customers a variety of complementary choices that enable them to locate their applications wherever they like.

I believe that this no longer needs to be the case. Instead, I think SaaS and cloud computing vendors should adopt a different attitude toward the hybrid model to better respond to their customers’ preferences. If vendors adopt this new approach, it could remove one of the last barriers to broad-based acceptance of SaaS and cloud computing among small- and mid-size businesses (SMBs), as well as large-scale enterprises.

As I’ve written, and many others have stated elsewhere, building and selling a traditional software product is fundamentally different than delivering and supporting a SaaS solution. Supporting these two differing models creates internal redundancies and external conflicts which are costly, inefficient and doomed to failure in most cases.

Having said that, I’m becoming convinced that some ISVs can survive and will succeed by offering customers the choice of an on-premise and on-demand solution. In fact, I think it will be necessary to do so in order to satisfy the demands of those customers who are not comfortable with relying on a ‘cloud’-based solution to meet their IT or business needs.

While customer concerns about where a software solution, or even the application data, resides may not be entirely rational at times, it may not be necessary in the future for ISVs to have to convince them to part with their data or depend on an application hosted in an unknown location.

Instead, a variety of players in the SaaS and cloud computing market are leveraging an ‘appliance’ approach which permits customers to deploy the vendor’s on-demand solution behind the firewall where it is regularly updated and upgraded via a synchronization process similar to that which has become acceptable in a variety of other situations, such as managed storage, back-up and security services. It is also becoming possible with Google Docs offline and Adobe Air.

This idea is already being demonstrated by companies like Cast Iron Systems in the data integration arena; NTRglobal in the remote support management services business; and St. Bernard in the security solutions realm.

Although none of these companies are delivering major enterprise applications, they are all offering customers the choice of deploying their equally important solutions in the ‘cloud’ or behind the firewall.

And, if Google, IBM, Microsoft and others can modularize their data center capabilities into ‘pods’ which can be deployed anywhere, what is to prevent Salesforce.com or other enterprise SaaS vendors from doing the same thing with their applications.

(I’ve been hearing rumors for a while that Salesforce.com is already allowing some of its largest customers to host its applications behind the firewall.)

Now, it is important to note that this approach still requires an ISV to evolve its software design to sit on a single multi-tenant style architecture and code base in order to be operationally feasible and cost-effective.

But, the enabling technologies are quickly evolving to satisfy these requirements. And, customer demand definitely exists to make this approach readily acceptable and profitable.

Let me know if you think I’m crazy or if you know of other examples which support my argument.

Securing and Managing SaaS Apps

One of the primary concerns of IT and business decision-makers regarding Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) applications is security.

Although most SaaS vendors have been able to demonstrate that their cloud-based applications are secure from an operational point-of-view, there are still access control issues which enterprises need to address to ensure their corporate data is fully secure from an end-user perspective.

It is becoming particularly important to address these issues because SaaS applications are gaining popularity in today’s increasingly challenging economic climate.

The economy is also producing a new round of layoffs which means businesses need to be especially vigilant about how they manage user access to their SaaS applications to be sure laid off employees do not inadvertently or intentionally compromise sensitive or proprietary corporate data.

I’ve had the privilege of participating in two recent webcasts regarding these issues hosted by OutProtect and Symplified. These companies, and others such as Conformity, Ping Identity and Tricipher, are offering varying approaches to single sign-on (SSO) access control, usage tracking and centralized management of multiple SaaS applications.

Although on-demand SaaS has proven to be more secure than most on-premise applications, these SaaS security and management solutions are still worthwhile because cost-effective, end-user management and security will become even more essential as the SaaS market experiences accelerated growth due to the current economic crisis.

Aravo Solutions’ GE Win Confirms SaaS Is Enterprise-Ready

One of the myths about the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) market which has continuously frustrated me is the misconception that this movement is best suited for the ‘simple’ needs of small- and mid-sized businesses (SMBs) and not robust enough to satisfy the complex requirements of large-scale enterprises.

While SaaS certainly levels the playing field for SMBs, I’ve written, consulted and spoken extensively about the widespread interest and adoption of SaaS which THINKstrategies has seen over the past 3-4 years. Despite my efforts, many of the industry analyst firms and trade publications are still debating whether enterprises should consider and deploy SaaS.

This week, GE lent its name to the SaaS movement by announcing that it has deployed an on-demand Supplier Information Management (SIM) provided by Aravo Solutions, Inc. GE’s deployment of Aravo SIM(TM) was driven by its need to transform its supplier information management processes across all of its business units worldwide.

GE relies on one of the world’s largest and most complex supplier networks of over 500,000 suppliers across thousands of business units in more than 100 countries. Gaining greater control over the complexity of this supplier network is essential in today’s increasingly tough economic environment.

Aravo’s web-based, SIM platform will enable GE to automate and streamline its supplier information-related business processes, improve the quality of its supplier data, and reduce costs. The improved business processes and supplier data quality can also help GE satisfy its corporate compliance requirements.

GE also expects the new SaaS SIM platform to make it easier for its suppliers as well. Aravo’s solution includes a self-service interface to initiate and maintain their information, which reduces the time and expense of these administrative tasks.

GE’s implementation of Aravo’s SIM platform began in March 2008, and is now deployed worldwide. The completion of the first phase of this SIM platform deployment announced this week supports GE’s corporate supplier management organization. GE will deploy the SIM platform to all its business units by year end, and plans to expand its use of the platform in 2009.

This deployment may be the largest to date in the SaaS market. (Let me know if you know of any larger.) It is not only an important validation of the enterprise readiness of SaaS, but also clearly shows that enterprise SaaS still requires significant planning to be implemented successfully.

Winning GE as a customer is not only a major milestone for Aravo, but also a landmark endorsement for the overall SaaS movement. Of even greater value is GE’s willingness to talk publicly about its choice of a SaaS solution and confidence in the business benefits of this decision. In this week’s press release, GE’s senior vice president and CIO, Gary Reiner, stated:

“We evaluated a number of alternatives for managing our suppliers and their information, but Aravo SIM(TM) was the best commercially-available solution capable of meeting our complex, global needs. We expect that Aravo SIM will deliver significant cost savings, while improving data accuracy, compliance and productivity.”

Tom Hattier, GE’s Corporate Initiatives Group - Shared Sourcing Services Manager, added:

“Our sourcing and compliance strategies require our employees to see 500,000 vendors with a common view across hundreds of global systems. Coordination requires strong vendor management discipline, both lean and simple, backed up by a global platform that can lock in the process. Aravo SIM met these requirements extremely well. The service allows us to syndicate the information to our various purchasing, accounts payable, and other systems so that we can have one consolidated view of what’s going on with all of our suppliers.”

Anyone who has tried to get a major corporation to participate in a press release of this nature knows that it nearly impossible. Therefore, this announcement is a clear testiment to business benefits GE is already generating from the Aravo solution.

The announcement should serve as a wake-up call for legacy software vendors who have refused to believe that enterprises would accept SaaS for their mission-critical operational needs. It should give SaaS vendors targeting enterprises greater encouragement. And, it should give IT/business decision-makers within large-scale enterprises greater confidence that SaaS is a viable alternative to legacy, on-premise software.

Frolicking in the Clouds at Dreamforce

Despite the economy, election and lingering questions about whether Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) is enterprise-ready, this week’s Salesforce.com Dreamforce conference drew nearly ten thousand energnetic attendees and exhibitors to celebrate the power of the ‘cloud’.

The event not only dispelled any questions about whether the SaaS movement can withstand today’s economy, it also helped to resolve the needless debate over whether there is a difference between SaaS and cloud computing.

Salesforce.com succeeded in dissolving any line of demarcation which may have existed between the SaaS and cloud computing worlds by:

• Using the terms interchangeably throughout its keynote and breakout sessions
• Unveiling a new round of cloud-based applications and platform capabilities
• Expanding its strategic alliances to include two more pivotal ‘cloud’ players

Salesforce.com’s two most significant announcements were its move into website hosting services, and new alliances with Amazon and Facebook.

The website hosting services add another layer to the company’s capabilities and extend its reach across the value-chain of customer/partner facing interactions. This new layer of services provides a clear ‘use-case’ for Salesforce.com’s VisualForce web design capabilities and fortifies Salesforce.com’s positioning as a strategic source for customers and ISV partners.

The new alliances with Amazon and Facebook are a natural extension of its rapidly growing allegiance with Google. Amazon gives Force.com users added storage and computing power capabilities to enhance and expand their SaaS solutions. The Facebook relationship could finally enable business users to effectively leverage the popular social networking site for more than simple advertising and promotional purposes.

Most importantly from Salesforce.com’s perspective, these new alliances puts the company squarely at the center of the cloud computing world just as Microsoft is beginning to describe how it will deliver its own vendor-centric cloud platform.

Salesforce.com has succeeded in pulling together the key cloud computing players who stretch across the four corners of this rapidly expanding marketplace. I expect these alliances to accelerate new mash-ups and more substantial cloud-based solutions. This foursome of cloud computing players could be viewed as the “Four Horsemen”.

Between the keynote sessions I had two days of back-to-back meetings on the show floor with a mix of SaaS vendors, customers and investors facilitated by the SaaS appointment maker solution, TimeTrade.

The exhibitors were nearly all extremely pleased with the volume of quality leads they generated during the event. As always, I also learned about a variety of subplots among the various vendors in attendance.

All of the people I met were upbeat about the overall SaaS/cloud computing market outlook long-term, but concerned about the short-term impact of the economy on deals already in their sales pipeline. Corporate indecision or company edics to put a hold on all new spending will probably delay many SaaS deals through the end of 2008.

I think this delay in sales, combined with a tightening of VC and other financing, will accelerate a shakeout in the SaaS/cloud computing industry. The most vulnerable players will be those who only offer point products with ‘nice to have’ features rather than ‘must have’ business benefits. The survivors will be those who can demonstrate their strategic value, along with their financial viability in a tough economic climate.

Despite these potential storm clouds, the prospects are still far brighter for the overall SaaS and cloud computing market than traditional, on-premise, legacy software vendors. The energy and enthusiasm of Salesforce.com’s customers at Dreamforce served as a solid confirmation of this very exciting market opportunity.

NetSuite and HP Team to Push SaaS Through the Channel

One of the most vexing questions in the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) market, and broader on-demand services industry, is what role traditional channel companies will play in this brave, new world.

While Salesforce.com and other SaaS vendors are touting the enormous advantages of leveraging the ‘cloud’, there are still plenty of companies on Main Street who are just beginning to become familiar with today’s online services. Many of these small- and mid-size businesses (SMBs), and even large-scale enterprises, have relied on their local value-added reseller (VAR) and system integrator (SI) as not only their primary technology supplier but also their ‘trusted advisor’ for their technologies strategies.

These VARs and SIs have been uncertain about the impact of SaaS solutions and on-demand services on their businesses. In fact, many feel down right threatened by these services.

There is no question that SaaS solutions and on-demand services eliminate much of the upfront planning and design, installation and integration, and ongoing support requirements which have been the bread and butter of VARs and SIs’ revenue streams, not to mention the margins they made on hardware and software product sales.

However, there is still plenty of opportunities for channel companies to add value to SaaS and on-demand services across the entire lifecycle of customer requirements from needs assessment through the deployment and management processes. Appirio, Astadia, Bluewolf, SaaSpoint and Sofia Works are living proof of these new market opportunities.

Today, HP and NetSuite announced they are partnering to offer SaaS business applications to SMBs via HP’s vast channel community of 15,000 VARs in the U.S.

Under this agreement, HP and NetSuite will initiate a referral-based program for HP channel partners that will encourage them to recommend NetSuite’s solutions to their customers. They will also offer new value-added implementation and management services as part of the HP Total Care support program.

NetSuite will provide dedicated resources to support the HP resellers, along with a toll-free hotline for channel sales support and a self-service portal for channel partners to access sales tools and online training resources.

This agreement is significant on a number of levels.

First, it gives NetSuite a vast new channel to market to a broad cross-section of SMBs.

Second, it gives a wide array of VARs/SIs an opportunity to jump onto the on-demand services bandwagon with the help of HP.

Third, it gives HP a SaaS solution to sell to SMBs through its channel partners.

And fourth, it gives SMBs an opportunity to obtain a SaaS solution from their existing technology suppliers who they trust.

This agreement is a strong endorsement for NetSuite at just the right time. The company has been trying, without luck, to keep pace with Salesforce.com which continues to command the attention of the on-demand/cloud computing industry because of its brilliant marketing efforts and robust sales growth. Meanwhile, NetSuite has never been a strong marketing company and has seen its stock value severely impacted by failing to meet Wall Street expectations which hasn’t helped its standing in the SaaS industry.

Teaming with HP can be a timely shot in the arm for NetSuite. As a result of its acquisition of EDS, HP is now the largest vendor in the IT industry. HP has spent years building a strong channel network. Its willingness to expose the HP channel partners’ to NetSuite’s solution shows that HP believes it is a good fit for their customers. Otherwise, HP wouldn’t waste its time promoting NetSuite’s solution or jeopardize its channel relationships.

This agreement is also a way for HP to gain entry into the SaaS market where they have lacked a presence. In fact, I’ve been told by HP insiders that the company’s own SaaS initiatives have been slowed by their EDS acquisition. Who knows, HP might become a potential acquirer of NetSuite as a result of this relationship rather than Oracle who has been the most natural candidate in the past. On a more tactical level, the alliance also gives HP to opportunity to sell and promote more of its ProLiant servers and StorageWorks Modular Smart Arrays which are a key component of NetSuite’s service delivery infrastructure.

Ultimately, this alliance has the potential to be a win-win-win-win for all four parties—NetSuite, HP, channel companies and customers.

However, making this agreement a success won’t be easy. It will take time to train the channel companies and devise the right pricing and promotional programs to encourage them to sell NetSuite’s solutions. Even when the channel companies become comfortable with NetSuite and convinced that they can make money in this program, it will still take time to sell a enough NetSuite subscriptions to have an impact on everyone’s financial results.

Nonetheless, the evolution of this alliance will be an important indicator of how traditional channel companies will participate in the SaaS/on-demand services market. While the hoopla at last week’s Dreamforce was squarely focused on the new world of the ‘cloud’, today’s announcement may help to define the role of traditional channel companies in the SaaS market of the future.

THINKstrategies/Cutter Consortium Survey Finds SaaS Market Surging, Customer Satisfaction Rising

THINKstrategies’ fourth annual Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) customer survey, in conjunction with Cutter Consortium, revealed that 63% of the responding organizations are using a SaaS solution, almost double the 32% who were using SaaS solutions in 2007!

Over the past four years, THINKstrategies and Cutter have been charting the growth of the SaaS market with a series of yearly customer surveys. Our surveys were the first to find widespread interest and substantial adoption of SaaS in 2005.

In 2006, we began to see businesses of all sizes adopting SaaS solutions specifically designed to meet their vertical market needs, as well as their horizontal application requirements.

In 2007, we found customers were beginning to examine the platform capabilities of SaaS vendors as they sought to identify those vendors that could serve as strategic sources for their SaaS requirements. We also found growing acceptance of SaaS solutions by IT professionals who were beginning to adopt SaaS solutions to help them better manage their IT operations.

This year, our vanguard research has uncovered a new round of important market trends that have implications for IT and business decision makers, SaaS providers and independent software vendors (ISVs), channel companies, integrators, and investors. In addition, our survey found customer satisfaction has risen to a whopping 97% of responders!

Click here to obtain the first of a series of three Executive Update reports based on our latest SaaS survey results. Contact me if you’d like to discuss the implications of our findings on your company, or to learn more about our services aimed at helping companies capitalize on SaaS to achieve their business objectives.

On-Demand Services Face Escalating Challenges In Today’s Economic Crisis

Today’s deepening economic crisis is testing the mettle of IT/business decision-makers, IT solution providers and technology investors alike.

IT and business decision-makers in nearly every industry must make cuts to their capital and operating budgets in order to offset rapid declines in business and tightening credit markets. In many cases, this is forcing them to fundamentally reevaluate the way that they acquire and utilize technology and business applications, and leading them to seriously consider various on-demand service alternatives such as Software-as-a-Service (SaaS), cloud computing, and managed services.

I have recently suggested in commentaries in Datamation and the Business Technology Roundtable that any IT/business decision-maker who isn’t seriously considering these on-demand alternatives is doing their organization a disservice and could be jeopardizing their jobs.

THINKstrategies’ latest customer survey in conjunction with Cutter Consortium clearly shows that organizations of all sizes are adopting SaaS solutions to reap the economic and functional benefits of these on-demand services.

However, many of my clients are also reporting that they are putting a hold on all spending until they get a clearer picture of the state of the economy in 2009. In addition, many are also issuing requests for information (RFIs) to their current suppliers, including SaaS companies they are already using, to obtain additional financial data that can help them determine which vendors are most likely to survive a worsening economy. This is the first step of a broader initiative being undertaken by many of these companies to weed out those suppliers who may fail in the coming months.

Proving their long-term financial viability will become a key challenge for many SaaS, cloud computing and managed service providers (MSPs). Compounding this problem is the growing anxieties within the venture capital (VC) community which is facing severe pressures from their limited partners (LPs)–financial institutions, universities and others–who have been seriously impacted by the economic meltdown. With many of these LPs threatening to renege on their original commitments, the VCs are carefully scrutinizing and setting higher standards for their current and prospective portfolio companies alike.

As a consequence, many of the SaaS, cloud computing and managed service companies who were hoping to capitalize on the current crisis by increasing their sales and marketing efforts to promote their business benefits in a down economy are being forced to go slow or even cut back their spending instead. Many of these on-demand service companies are also facing longer sales cycles as customers delay their purchase decisions and demand more information about the providers’ operations and financial status as a part of their due diligence process.

Given that THINKstrategies’ SaaS Showplace already has over 900 companies from around the world offering over 4500 SaaS solutions organized into 80 Application, Industry and Enabling Technology categories and there may be twice that many companies actually offering on-demand services, an industry shakeout is inevitable and likely to happen sooner than expected.

These trends were the focal point of the recent Software Business and SIIA On-Demand conferences I participated in over the past few weeks. While Salesforce.com’s Dreamforce user conference was a celebration of the accelerating capabilities of cloud computing and SaaS, the Software Business and SIIA On-Demand conferences where more somber industry events were concerns about today’s economic environment were the center of attention.

I think the reality is somewhere between the euphoria and despair these two events. The measurable benefits and growing number of customer success stories that on-demand service providers can boast give them a clear long-term advantage over traditional, on-premise software and systems. However, these companies will face stiffer challenges from incumbent players and conservative decision-makers.

An indication of the competitive challenges facing SaaS and cloud computing vendors was provided by Anthony Lye, the Senior Vice President of Oracle’s customer relationship management (CRM) division, at the SIIA On-Demand conference. Lye spent about 30 minutes of what was supposed to be a “Point/Counter-Point” keynote session challenging the fundamental benefits of on-demand solutions and questioning the long-term viability of the on-demand services model, despite the fact that he is responsible for running Oracle’s on-demand CRM solution which has experienced significant growth over the past year.

Lye’s tough-minded presentation was an example of the same kind of subtefuge which his boss, Larry Ellison, the Chairman/CEO of Oracle, has been conducting for the past year with his own statements aimed at discrediting the on-demand services market despite the fact that Oracle is one of the largest suppliers of databases and middleware for SaaS and cloud computing vendors. (Click here to read THINKstrategies’ profile of Oracle’s SaaS enablement platform strategies and solutions.)

On-demand service providers will have to do a better job than Zach Nelson, the CEO of NetSuite, did at the SIIA conference. Nelson was supposed to offer a SaaS industry response to Lye’s incumbent software vendor (iSV) arguments, but he chose to side with Lye instead and distance NetSuite from the rest of the SaaS community. Rather than dispute any of Lye’s contentions and misrepresentations of the SaaS model, Nelson decided to take only 15 minutes of his portion of the keynote session “debate” to promote NetSuite’s integrated software and new focus on the service industry based on its acquisition of OpenAir.

Anyone who wasn’t aware that NetSuite offers SaaS solutions would have thought it was a traditional software vendor based on Nelson’s presentation. It was a disappointing performance which will do little to endear NetSuite to the rest of the SaaS industry. Instead, it only reinforced the impression that NetSuite and Oracle have a mutual understanding about how they will complement rather than compete with one another.

So, the on-demand services movement will continue to be led by Salesforce.com, Google, Amazon, Facebook and other innovators. It will also be led by bold, new leaders. Although Marc Benioff of Salesforce.com is the figurehead of the movement and Treb Ryan of OpSource is another important evangelist. Josh James of Omniture has emerged as an important spokesperson as well. James delivered a captivating presentation at the SIIA On-Demand conference which elaborated on a similar talk which gave at OpSource’s SaaS Summit last February regarding the key management metric for measuring SaaS sales effectiveness–the ‘magic number’. It will take bold ideas and actions to succeed in the on-demand services market going forward. The winning on-demand service companies will be those who can convey a compelling message regarding the fundamental business benefits of their SaaS, cloud computing and managed service solutions, and deliver these tangible results in a cost-effective manner.

Like the well known line from Charles Dickens’ book “Tale of Two Cities” goes, these will be the best of times and the worst of times for the on-demand services movement.

‘Cloud-Rush’ Attracts Shady Characters

I’ve been suggesting for a few months that the Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and ‘cloud computing’ market has been experiencing a ‘gold-rush’ era of accelerated growth. The rapid adoption of SaaS solutions was confirmed by THINKstrategies’ latest survey in conjunction with Cutter Consortium.

Just like in the original gold-rush of the 1800s, today’s ‘cloud-rush’ is not only attracting a proliferation of players, but also an assortment of unsavory characters.

The scandal surrounding IT Factory of Denmark is the most recent example. If you haven’t been keeping track of this one, it is worth reading about. The company’s CEO, Stein Bagger, disappeared before Thanksgiving after financial ‘irregularities’ were discovered at his company and a half billion kroner were found to be missing from the company’s bank accounts. Bagger is presumed to be hiding out in Dubai, and his company has fallen into bankruptcy.

The scandal doesn’t only affect the company’s employees, customers, partners and creditors. It also is a black-eye for the tech industry. As TechCrunch reports, just this September the Danish version of Computerworld named IT Factory “Denmark’s Best IT Company 2008″.

Another scandal involving a SaaS company unfolded in October. In this case, Entellium’s CEO and CFO were arrested for keeping two sets of books to disceive the company’s board of directors and investors. The company is facing bankruptcy and its assets are likely to be sold to another vendor.

Once again, the impact of this scandal extends beyond the company’s employees, customers, partners and investors. Entellium won numerous industry awards for the quality and innovative nature of its SaaS solutions from a variety of industry associations and publications before the company’s executives were discovered to be cooking the books.

While these might be isolated cases, they are a clear indication that the SaaS/cloud computing market has grown to the stage in which it is likely to be a target for more of this type of deceitful behavior.

For instance, I’ve even discovered a new online directory which is structured curiously like my SaaS Showplace and includes almost an identical list of companies which is attempting to exploit the SaaS/cloud computing market.

These ethical threats to the SaaS and cloud computing movements could undercut the success which the on-demand services marketplace experienced over the past year, and could combine with the uncertain economy to derail the momentum many SaaS/cloud computing companies were anticipating in 2009.

All of us who have worked hard for years building the SaaS/cloud computing market will have to work even harder now to combat these threats and safeguard the integrity of the on-demand services industry from these opportunistic, scurrilous characters.

Will Acquisitions Accelerate in the SaaS and Cloud Computing Industry?

Given the proliferation of Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) and cloud computing players over the past year in response to the rapid rise of customer interest and demand, it was easy to predict that a shake out in the on-demand services market was inevitable. The question is whether today’s turbulent economic environment will accelerate this shake out process and kickstart a series of mergers and acquisitions heading into 2009.

One school of thought is that many of the weaker players in the on-demand services market are not mature enough to attract buyers and, therefore, the volume of acquisitions will not be any greater than normal.

Compounding this situation is the fact that many potential acquirers are facing their own financial challenges and lack the currency to take advantage of a “buyer’s market” and make acquisitions.

I’m not an expert in the art and science of M&As, that’s why I’ve established alliances with key players in this business. But, I am intimately involved with many on-demand service providers who recognize that they must strengthen their competitive positions in order to survive and succeed in an increasingly challenging economic climate and competitive landscape.

Therefore, a number of companies are looking at ways they can expand their market penetration via acquisition. For instance, I’ve have the privilege of serving as a senior advisor to Triple-Tree, LLC, which has seen a significant uptick in its pipeline of deals over the past few months. Triple-Tree has announced two deals in the past week alone,

• Paisley–a governance, risk and compliance SaaS vendor–has signed a definitive agreement with Thomson Reuters, a provider of intelligent information for businesses and professionals. Thomson Reuters is acquiring Paisley to provide customers a ‘one-stop’ compliance management and internal financial control solution.
• SearchAmerica–a provider of payment prediction data and analytics to the U.S. healthcare industry–has been acquired by Experian, a global provider of information, analytical, and marketing services to organizations and consumers to help manage the risk and reward of commercial and financial decisions. The acquisition will permit Experian to extend its Credit Services and Decision Analytics activities in North America to help healthcare providers manage their billings and cash flows.

These were not ‘asset’ sales. Instead, they are deals which enable the respective acquirers to expand their portfolios and market reach, and permit the acquired companies to achieve a solid exit. These transactions also typify the blurring of the lines between software, business and information services sectors.

You can expect to see a steady stream of these deals through 2009 as the on-demand services industry evolves and is reshaped by broader macro-market trends.